Category Archives: Dollar & $en$e

Today Dollar & $en$e takes a look at six oil and gas related companies and their historical performance in March. These companies span over three industries related to oil and gas: major integrated oil and gas, oil and gas equipment and services, and oil and gas drill and exploration. March has been a good month for oil historically with a 5.2% average during March for the West Texas Intermediate spot price since 1992. The biggest loss for WTI has been –7.8% and the largest gain has been 22.5%. Recently, oil has been even better with gains for the last eight Marches and nine out of the last ten. Here are the companies included in today’s research and the industry that each hails from:

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"Insiders might sell their shares for any number of reasons, but they buy them for only one: they think the price will rise.” – Peter Lynch

Majority stockholders, executives, and company leaders each know their companies better than anyone else in the world. When they make significant insider transactions, they are signaling to the rest of the trading community that their stock is primed to move. Significant insider buying (i.e: transactions by these stockholders of greater than $1 Million) signals to us that members of the company believe that their stock is undervalued and ready to pop. Today, we take a look at several significant insider buying transactions to see how well these majority owners/executives predicted the eventual increase in their stock’s price. Here is a summary of the companies included in today’s research:

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Today we take a look at how the market performs during the time leading up and following presidential elections. In general, investors tend to side with the idea that administrations implement certain fiscal policies near the end of their terms to strengthen the economy before their possible re-election. In addition, post-election periods seem to follow opposite trends as investors are skeptical of new policy at the beginning of a term. Pepperdine professor Marshall Nickles, EED proposed such a trend back in 2004[1]. He hypothesized this very trend and compiled research to determine how presidential elections are related to stock market cycles. We will analyze certain aspects of his research as well as do some research of our own to see how his data has held up in subsequent elections and where the market may head in the next four years.

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Today, we take a look at five American companies reporting earnings next week. These five companies have the largest market caps for any companies reporting next week (with at least eight years of data). Today’s research compiles the previous ten February earnings releases to see if any consistencies have formed for any company when reporting earnings this quarter.

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Later this week, The Oxen Group will be releasing our Automotive/Recreational Vehicle EquityAnalytics report, covering Arctic Cat Inc. (ACAT), Drew Industries Inc. (DW), Ford Motor Co. (F), General Motors Co. (GM), Honda Motor Co. (HMC), Harley-Davidson, Inc. (HOG), Polaris Industries Inc. (PII), Thor Industries, Inc. (THO), Toyota Motor Corp. (TM), Tesla Motors Inc. (TSLA), Tata Motors (TTM), and Winnebago Industries Inc. (WGO). Since our EquityAnalytic reports contain long-term ratings for each company, we decided to take a historical look at each company’s performance between February and April over the past fifteen years. This information will give us a good idea how these stocks may perform over the next three months. At the release of our report we will be able to couple the long-term ratings with the historical performance of each company over this period to have a great idea how these stocks will perform early this spring and which ones we may want to add to our Extended Value Portfolio.

*Note: GM, TSLA, and TTM have been omitted since historical data for each company does not span enough years to be significant.

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